FiveThirtyEight Politics

The Forecasts Are Diverging
Early Indicators Of Who Is Running In 2020
The Governors Forecast Is Live
These Fundraising Numbers Are Unprecedented
How Voting Laws Will Affect The Midterms
The Campaign Ads Dominating 2018
The Early Vote Is Not In The Model
Do Toxic Politics Lead To Violence?
The Most Important Races You Aren't Watching
Debating Our Own Senate Forecast
Debating Our Own House Forecast
How To Judge The Model's Performance
The Final Countdown
A Guide To Election Night
Election Night Wrap-Up: Write Your Own Narrative
Emergency Podcast: Sessions Is Out
Midterms Review
A Post-Midterms 2020 Draft... Live!
How Our Model Did
Will Pelosi Be Replaced?
Can A Democrat Win In Mississippi?
This Is Mueller Talk!
Emergency Podcast: Cohen Is Cooperating With Mueller
Something Is Fishy In North Carolina
Trump's Turbulent Week
The Brexit Episode
Should Democrats Play Dirty?
Emergency Podcast: Mattis Is Out, Shutdown Is On (?)
Our 2018 Politics Awards
The Gerrymandering Project: Arizona
How Elizabeth Warren Could Win
Will Trump Face A Primary Challenge?
How Julian Castro Could Win
How Kirsten Gillibrand Could Win
Emergency Podcast: The Suborn Identity
How Kamala Harris Could Win
What To Make Of Roger Stone's Indictment
Shutdown Lessons (And 2020 Announcements)
Do Americans Want A Candidate Like Howard Schultz?
The Perot Effect
The Politics Of Taxing The Rich
The Mess In Virginia
How Amy Klobuchar Could Win
National Emergency Podcast
How Bernie Sanders Could Win
All The President's Investigations
Our Best (Or Worst) Show
What We Learned From Cohen's Testimony
Should We Cancel The Electoral College?
Iowa And New Hampshire Can Go To Hell
How Divided Are Democrats?
How Beto O'Rourke Could Win
The Moment Of Truth For Brexit
Ranking 2020 Rollouts
Live From NY: It's A 2020 Draft!
Emergency Podcast: Mueller Has Filed His Report
Life After The Mueller Report
Can Statistics Solve Gerrymandering?
What Will Biden Do?
The Electoral College Episode
Do Democrats Want An Outsider In 2020?
How Good Are FiveThirtyEight Forecasts?
The State Of The Democratic Primary
Emergency Podcast: The Mueller Report
We Have The Mueller Report. Now What?
How Joe Biden Could Win
Peto Buttichar 2020
Mueller's Letter To Barr
Live From Austin: Will Texas Be A Battleground In 2020?
Live From Houston: What Happened To The Bush GOP?
The Politics Of Impeaching Trump
Why Some States Are Passing New Abortion Restrictions
Have Americans Changed Their Minds On Abortion?
What We Can Learn From Tracking Trump's Falsehoods
Is Pelosi's Trump Strategy Working?
Are Nationalist Victories Around The World Connected?
Are Voters Sexist?
The D.C. Statehood Episode
Is Elizabeth Warren Surging?
A Republican Strategist's Guide To 2020
Who Is Persuadable In 2020?
What's At Stake In The Final Week Of SCOTUS Decisions
Lanes Emerge In The Democratic Primary
What Went Down At The First Democratic Debate
Harris Wins Narrative. We'll See About The Voters.
The Verdict On The Debates
Is Biden Still The Front-Runner?
Exit Interview: Eric Swalwell
Trump's Racist Tweets
Who's Going To Win Pennsylvania In 2020?
Racial Resentment As A Political Strategy
Mueller Talks
Are Democrats Moving Too Far Left?
Democrats Battle It Out
Live From Detroit: The State Of The Race Post-Debates
Can Trump's Words Incite Violence?
"The Best Pollster In Politics"
How Much Does Iowa Matter?
Trump's Trade War Puts His Biggest Asset At Risk
Elizabeth Warren's Comeback
The 2019 Elections
The Winnowing Begins
A Constitutional Crisis In Britain?
And Then There Were Ten
The Gerrymandering Fight Moves To The States
How To Own The Debate
What Went Down In The Third Democratic Debate
The State Of *Both* 2020 Primaries
We Ran Into Andrew Yang At The Airport
Are Democrats Ready To Impeach Trump?
What An Impeachment Inquiry Might Mean
The Whistleblower's Complaint
Impeachment Is Becoming More Popular
How TV's Evolution Explains Our Politics
Is Ukraine Getting Worse For Trump?
Impeachment 101
What To Look For In The 4th Debate
Warren In The Hot Seat
Medicare For Fall
The Taylor Testimony
What Should Republicans Do?
Exit Interview: Tim Ryan
Free-For-All In Iowa
What The 2019 Election Results Mean
The FiveThirtyNATE Podcast
Public Impeachment Hearings Begin
Yovanovich Testifies, Trump Attacks
The Buttigieg Bump 2.0
Impeachment Hearings Day 3: The Phone Call
Impeachment Hearings Day 4: Sondland Testifies
What Went Down In The 5th Democratic Debate
A Very FiveThirtyEight Thanksgiving
Is The Party Deciding?
Emergency Podcast: Harris Drops Out
The Legal Experts And The Polls
The Primary According To The Early States
Conservatives Win Big In The UK Election
Do Voters' Second Choices Matter?
The House Impeaches President Trump
Eggnog And Listener Questions
The Biggest Political Moments Of 2019
How The Iran Conflict Could Affect 2020
The Primaries Project: How 1968 Changed Everything
Model Talk: The Primary Forecast Is Live
A Four-Way Pileup In Iowa
The Last Pre-Iowa Debate
The Primaries Project: The Effects Of Reform
Live From DC: America's Favorite Sandwich
How Senators Are Calculating Impeachment Politics
The Primaries Project: There's Gotta Be A Better System...Right?
The Sanders Surge
When Women Run
Stacey Abrams Thinks She'll Be President By 2040
Model Talk: What To Expect From The Iowa Caucuses
Chaos In Iowa
The Results In Iowa
Live From The New Hampshire Debate
Live From Manchester: A New Hampshire Preview
Bernie Sanders Wins New Hampshire
Model Talk: The Chance Of Chaos Increases
Can Bloomberg Win?!
Bloomberg Stumbles In Chaotic Debate
Sanders Wins Big In Nevada
What Went Down In The South Carolina Debate
How Rep. James Clyburn Settled On Endorsing Biden
Biden Wins Big In South Carolina
What's At Stake On Super Tuesday
Biden Won Super Tuesday. What Now?
Emergency Podcast: Warren Drops Out
Model Talk: Biden Is A Clear Favorite
Is Even Coronavirus Partisan?
The Democratic Primary Is No Longer Competitive
Biden And Sanders Debate Amid Pandemic
Coronavirus, Uncertainty, Politics
How COVID-19 Affected Tuesday's Vote
How COVID-19 Is Changing The Economy
How COVID-19 Is -- And Isn't -- Changing Politics
COVID-19 Broke The Jobless Claims Chart
Why Trump's Approval Rating Has Increased
Why It's So Hard To Forecast The Impact Of COVID-19
Wisconsin's Election Is A Mess
Emergency Podcast: Sanders Drops Out
Our 2020 Election Priors
How To Hold An Election During A Crisis
What Is Motivating The COVID-19 Protests?
Model Talk: Forecasting The Toll Of COVID-19
Is COVID-19 Already Hurting Trump Politically?
The U.S. Is Starting To Reopen. Is It Ready?
Biden Responds To Sexual Assault Allegation
What The 14.7% Unemployment Rate Means
Americans, Not Politicians, Will Decide How We Reopen
Why COVID-19 Conspiracy Theories Are Spreading
Does Trump Really Want A Fight With Obama?
One Virus, A World Full Of Responses
Questions About Biden And Trump's Bases
What Biden's VP Picks Say About Him
The Data Behind Police Violence
Protests, Then And Now
Americans Don't Like How Trump Is Handling Multiple Crises
The Protests Appear To Be Working
Views Of BLM Have Shifted. What Happens Next?
Model Talk: Biden Leads Trump By 9 Nationally
Progressives Challenge The Democratic Establishment
New Voter Registrations Have Nosedived During COVID-19
Biden Is Currently Competitive In Georgia And Texas
How The GOP Chose To Be A White Party
How Trump Could Improve His Electoral Odds
Conservatives Didn’t Get The SCOTUS They Wanted This Term
COVID-19 Deaths Are Rising. What Will The U.S. Do?
White Democrats Are Wary Of Big Ideas To Address Racial Inequality
There Aren't Secret Trump Voters
The U.S. Still Isn't Prepared For A Pandemic Election
Biden's VP Pick Could Be Days Away
A GOP Congressman Who Might Not Vote For Trump
It's Not Just The Economy, Stupid
The Tokenization Of The Veepstakes
Emergency Podcast: Harris Is Biden's VP Pick
Model Talk: The 2020 Forecast Is Live!
DNC Night 1: Michelle Obama Rips Trump
DNC Night 2: Democrats Aren't Sure Who They Are
DNC Night 3: Harris Fills A Historic Role
DNC Night 4: Biden Pitches Himself As A Good Guy
RNC Night 1: Trumpism vs. Traditionalism
RNC Night 2: Cognitive Dissonance
RNC Night 3: Pence Makes A Law And Order Appeal
RNC Night 4: How Trump Used His 5,680 Words
The Media Is Getting Ahead Of Itself On Kenosha
Model Talk: Trump's Electoral College Advantage
The 2020 Electoral Map Could Get Interesting
How Ohio Is Preparing For A Pandemic Election
Trump Narrows The Gap With Latino Voters
Model Talk: Democrats Are Slightly Favored To Win The Senate
Emergency Podcast: The SCOTUS Vacancy
What Comes Next In The Fight To Fill Ginsburg’s Seat
Trump Refuses To Commit To A Peaceful Transfer Of Power
The Politics Of Trump's Tax Returns
Trump Interrupts To Point Of Chaos In First Debate
Is The Supreme Court Losing Legitimacy?
Emergency Podcast: Trump Tests Positive For COVID-19
What We Know About The President's Health
Pence And Harris Evade Questions In VP Debate
Model Talk: Trump's Position Worsens
The Sun Belt Could Decide Control Of The Senate
What We Learned From The Amy Coney Barrett Hearings
Model Talk: Why Democrats' Chances Of Winning The Senate Have Increased
Embrace The Uncertainty
The Most Competitive Races In 2020
How Voting Is Going So Far
The Second Debate Is Over And The Final Stage Of The Campaign Is Here
Model Talk: National And District-Level Polls Disagree